Category Archives : The Future is unknown

The useless coin toss: Early adaptor – Early rejector 2

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We all know about the early adaptors, you know, the people who jump on new trends almost instantly. Apparently the term was originally coined by Everett M. Rogers in his book Diffusion of Innovations from 1962. Other people have built on the idea including such notables as Moore in his book Crossing the Chasm and […]

Illustration by Luke Siemens.

Predicting the future is dabbling with the black arts 3

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I’m sorry, but we need to talk about predictions, risks, probability and estimations, and I will expound on the subject in a few posts here. But first, let me try to convey how sensitive I am when it comes to this. Make no mistake, people who pretend that they can predict the future make my […]

Photo by Sean McGrath